October 18, 2002--According to a new ElectroniCast Corp. (www.electronicast.com) market study, the global use of 10-Gbit/sec data communication transceivers will rise from $68.7 million in 2001 to $3.26 billion in 2006.
"The high-speed datacom transceiver market was launched in 1998 with the success of full-speed Fibre Channel, Gigabit Ethernet, and VCSEL transceivers, whose markets tripled in 1999," ElectroniCast President Stephen Montgomery said. "With the emergence of 10-Gbit/sec datacom transceivers, the datacom and telecom markets have converged at approximately the same data rate for the first time. As a result, there will be technology and product sharing across these two market segments. Initially, the 10-Gbit/sec technology and transceiver modules that have already been developed for telecom will find use in datacom applications. However, datacom will always be asking for low-cost connectorized transceiver modules."
ElectroniCast's report presents forecasts by transceiver type. Six varieties of 10-Gbit/sec datacom transceivers (or PMDs) will compete for a slice of the market share pie. According to the analysis, three different 850-nm transceivers will consume approximately half the total unit volume during the 2001-2011 forecast period. This is substantially less than the 85 percent dominance of multimode solutions at 1 Gbit/sec.
The study addresses the increasing market movement of 1310-nm singlemode serial transceivers. Two additional serial transceiver versions, 1310-nm WWDM and 1550 nm, add increasing shares to the totals.
ElectroniCast's 10-Gbit/sec datacom transceiver study provides analysis of transceiver type and growth opportunities by market application, wavelength physical layer (PHY) type, and source for the years 2001-2011. The 10 Gbps Datacom Transceiver Study is available immediately for $12,000.