Cellular operators have been slower to embrace Ethernet than cable operators, who don't have a legacy T-carrier business to protect, said Stuart Bennington, the Director of Global Portfolio Marketing for Tellabs [
www.tellabs.com]. "They are a little more unencumbered by the legacy," he said. "LTE and WiMax are heavily IP," he said. "The trajectory is to Ethernet as well as to fiber."With the need and the preference for (or at least openness to) cable's approach established, the next step is determining whether the industry's fiber is close at hand. The answer is that, indeed, it is. Cable operators and cellular carriers target the same consumer and small business customers and thus have a complementary geographic emphasis.Stu Lahti, Vice President Access Networks for network services provider CCI Systems [
www.ccisystems.com], said that his firm is likely to help prepare 40 or 50 proposals by cable operators this year, after only having done about 10 last year and one or two annually in earlier times. Cable operators are in the right places, and in many cases can reach the towers in a way that makes sense. "Their [fiber loops] go by the towers, or it takes only some tiny incremental built to tie it into the cell towers," Lahti said.
What's Old is New Again
Reini Florin, vendor Axerra's [
www.axerra.com] General Manager for the Americas, suggested that microwave will play a role in the wireless backhaul. "An MSO may go through an analysis and say the ROI models allow 80 percent of the towers [to be reached by fiber]," Florin said. "But the provider may say they need 100 percent covered, so the MSO may augment the other 20 percent with microwave."The bottom line is that cellular backhaul is a great opportunity for the cable industry. "Obviously it has huge growth potential," said Frank McCullough, the Vice President of Product Management and Procurement at TVC Communications [
www.tvcinc.com]. "From all reports and indications, it's a $2.5 billion to $3 billion annual revenue opportunity for cable operators. Capex is increasing in this space, and they should have a good run for the next four to six years as the need for 3G and 4G bandwidth is required."In the final analysis, the wireless carriers may be hard pressed to keep up with the demand from iPhones, iPads, Android devices and other emerging gadgetry. This may mean that time to market - not the cost of the technology - may be the key, said Tom Huegerich, the Vice President of Global Fiber Engineering for ADC [
www.adc.com]. "This is going to be a horse race, and a real fun horse race to watch," he said. "Cost will be a factor, but not the entire ball game. A big issue will be who can get it out there faster."
Carl Weinschenk is a freelance writer and the Features Editor for Broadband Gear Report. He can be reached at [email protected].