Although off to a slow start, G.fast revenue is forecast to grow as operators finish testing and trialing G.fast amendment 3 chipsets and systems, according to a recently published report from Dell'Oro Group. In 2019, G.fast revenue is expected to grow approximately 600 percent.
"G.fast is off to a slow start so far but we think it will ramp in 2019," said Alam Tamboli, Dell'Oro Group's Senior Analyst. "Operators are holding off on massive deployments throughout their networks until they have more hands-on time with amendment 3 chipsets and systems, which will be available in early 2018. Furthermore, many operators that wish to deploy G.fast into larger buildings via FTTB architectures are waiting for 32 or larger port units to be tested more thoroughly. Momentum will continue through at least the rest of our forecast horizon as we anticipate that G.fast revenue will account for over a third of the overall DSL market by 2021."
Dell'Oro forecasts that G.fast will take off in 2019, and in turn make an impact on the worldwide fiber-optic broadband access market, including PON, DSL, and cable, down the road.
The Dell'Oro Group "Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast Report" provides an overview of the broadband access market with tables covering manufacturers' revenue, average selling prices, and port/unit shipments for Cable, DSL, and PON equipment. Network infrastructure equipment includes Cable Modem Termination Systems (CMTS), Digital Subscriber Line Access Multiplexers ([DSLAMs] by technology ADSL, ADSL2+, G.SHDSL, VDSL), and PON Optical Line Terminals (OLTs). Customer Premises Equipment (CPE) technology reflects Voice-over-IP (VoIP) or data-only.
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